Saturday, January 27, 2007
Friday, January 26, 2007
Check Your Head
Wednesday, January 24, 2007
Enciclomedia: Education Automation
Monday, January 22, 2007
Give Me Freedom Or Give Me Security
The title is slightly different than the line, “Give me freedom or give me death.” Times have changed, but not necessarily as recent as we might think. I have been trying to catch up on my reading in The Daily Drucker. The December 26 entry is a passage from The End of Economic Man
written in 1939. Read this and think of how this could still apply today to issues concerning U.S. Homeland Security, the situation in Iraq, the rising prison population, or gun control.
“The masses, then, have become prepared to abandon freedom if this promises to reestablish the rationality of the world. If freedom is incompatible with equality, they will give up freedom. If it is incompatible with security, they will decide for security. To be free or not has become a secondary question, since the freedom available does not help to banish the demons. Since the “free” society is the one that is threatened by the demons, it seems more than plausible to blame freedom and to expect delivery from despair through the abandonment of freedom.”
Wednesday, January 17, 2007
Next Generation Optical Storage
Tuesday, January 16, 2007
The Real Information Age
"The next age that will emerge--but is not here in full swing --is the information age. Do you believe that we're in the information age already? In the information age, information will serve you, and you will not be abused by an excess of information. The present, pre-information age era in which you now reside is an era of over-information, an idea to which you can readily relate."
Wednesday, January 10, 2007
Design, Design, Design
Monday, January 08, 2007
Genesis Of A Home By The Sea
Thursday, January 04, 2007
Dude, Where’s My Dymaxion Car?
Tuesday, January 02, 2007
Why Predictions For 2007 Instead Of Scenarios
It’s the beginning of a new year again and the Internet and airwaves are rife with predictions. Many futurists, though, dislike predictions (or forecasts) in favor of scenarios. But, if you search on Google with the terms “2007 predictions” you will get more direct/relevant hits than if you search with the terms “2007 scenarios”. Why is that? Essentially, I think that scenarios require more patience and, in general, patience is in short supply. People want answers not a collection of stories that begin with a disclaimer that any of the events outlined may or may not happen. The fact is, though, that many (if not most) predictions are dead wrong. Predictions are easy to rate, though. Ultimately their accuracy is a binary rating. They are either right or wrong. Scenarios, on the other hand, are fuzzy. Some parts are right and some parts are wrong within a given scenario. Reality may prove to be a combination of scenarios. Therefore, scenarios require more evaluation to determine their use or accuracy.
My thoughts on using predictions:Strictly using predictions is like gambling. But they can be useful inputs to scenarios.
To Learn More:
Scenario Planning: The Link Between Future and Strategy
Scenarios: The Art of Strategic Conversation
The Art of the Long View: Planning for the Future in an Uncertain World

